As India’s 2025 tour of England enters its decisive phase, the 4th Test of the five-match series will take place at Emirates Old Trafford, Manchester. After a nine-day break, the action resumes from July 23 to July 27, with play starting at 3:30 PM IST. England currently lead the series 2-1.
🧭 Toss Prediction – Who Will Win Today’s Toss?
With rain clouds looming over Old Trafford, weather might play a huge role in the outcome. A washed-out Test could mean heartbreak for Shubman Gill’s side. Conditions early on are likely to favour fast bowlers, thanks to the overcast skies, while batters might get better chances as the pitch settles from Day 2 onwards. Wrist-spinners could also come into play later.
Our Toss Prediction: India are likely to win the toss and opt to bowl first.
🔁 ENG vs IND Toss Record – 2025 Series (So Far)
| Match | Date | Venue | Toss Winner | Toss Decision | Match Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Test | June 20–24 | Headingley, Leeds | England | Bowled first | England |
| 2nd Test | July 2–6 | Edgbaston, Birmingham | England | Bowled first | India |
| 3rd Test | July 10–14 | Lord’s, London | England | Batted first | England |
| 4th Test | July 23–27 | Old Trafford, Manchester | TBD | TBD | TBD |
📜 Historical ENG vs IND Toss Record (2024 India Series)
| Match | Date | Venue | Toss Winner | Toss Decision | Match Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Test | Jan 25–29 | Hyderabad | England | Batted first | England |
| 2nd Test | Feb 2–6 | Vizag | India | Batted first | India |
| 3rd Test | Feb 15–19 | Rajkot | India | Batted first | India |
| 4th Test | Feb 23–26 | Ranchi | England | Batted first | India |
| 5th Test | March 7–11 | Dharamsala | England | Batted first | India |
🎯 Toss Stats – Captains Comparison
Ben Stokes (England)
- Matches: 36
- Tosses Won: 21
- Win Percentage: 58.33%
Shubman Gill (India)
- Matches: 3
- Tosses Won: 0
- Win Percentage: 0%
Although Ben Stokes has a stronger track record at the toss, Shubman Gill is still navigating his debut series as Test captain.
🏟️ Old Trafford Pitch & Weather Report
- Bowling first is considered ideal at Old Trafford due to the seam-friendly conditions early on.
- Batting becomes easier from Day 2, offering more scoring opportunities.
- Expect consistent cloud cover and possible showers throughout all five days from July 23–27.
- Spinners, especially wrist-spinners, may come into play in the later stages.
📊 ENG vs IND Head-to-Head Record (Tests)
| Total Matches | England Wins | India Wins | Draws |
|---|---|---|---|
| 139 | 53 | 36 | 50 |
🧢 Probable Playing XIs
England XI:
Zak Crawley, Ben Duckett, Ollie Pope, Joe Root, Harry Brook, Ben Stokes (c), Jamie Smith (wk), Liam Dawson, Chris Woakes, Brydon Carse, Jofra Archer, Josh Tongue, Gus Atkinson, Jacob Bethell
India XI:
Yashasvi Jaiswal, KL Rahul, Sai Sudharsan, Shubman Gill (c), Karun Nair / Dhruv Jurel, Rishabh Pant (wk), Ravindra Jadeja, Washington Sundar / Kuldeep Yadav, Anshul Kamboj, Mohammed Siraj, Jasprit Bumrah
Note: Injuries to Arshdeep Singh and Akash Deep could see them dropped for this match.
🔮 Match Prediction – Who Will Win Today’s 4th Test?
- England hold the momentum after a dramatic comeback at Lord’s.
- India, however, were close to chasing a significant total and have shown resilience.
- With rain likely to interrupt play, a draw remains a strong possibility.
📈 Win Probability
| Team | Chance to Win |
|---|---|
| England | 50% |
| India | 31% |
| Draw | 19% |
⭐ Players to Watch
Best Batters:
- England: Joe Root, Ollie Pope
- India: Shubman Gill, KL Rahul
Best Bowlers:
- England: Liam Dawson, Brydon Carse
- India: Jasprit Bumrah, Mohammed Siraj
✅ Final Prediction
- Toss Winner: India (likely)
- Match Result: Draw expected
Rain, combined with England’s home advantage and India’s changes in the bowling attack, makes this a tight contest. Expect a hard-fought battle—but the weather may decide the final word.
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